Who ya got: “Sinners” and its record-setting 16 nominations or “One Battle After Another” and 13 nods?
There are other deserving nominees, to be sure, but these two films have dominated the movie year 2025 and much of Awards Season 2026. There is no reason to think it won’t continue come Oscar night.
Which is better? Wow. What day is it? Let’s just say we have extra love for the split in the Best Screenplay category this year, where they both can collect the hardware.
And what a great year for Horror! Don’t forget del Toro’s visionary “Frankenstein” nabbed 9 nominations, Amy Madigan’s Aunt Gladys gets recognition for “Weapons” and “The Ugly Stepsister,” Emilie Blichfeldt’s beautifully brutal debut, is up for the Best Makeup and Hairstyling award. All well deserved.
So let’s dig in:
Best picture
- “Bugonia”
- “F1”
- “Frankenstein”
- “Hamnet”
- “Marty Supreme”
- “One Battle After Another”
- “The Secret Agent”
- “Sentimental Value”
- “Sinners”
- “Train Dreams”
Should win: “Sinners” or “One Battle After Another”
Will win: “Sinners”
Best Actress
- Jessie Buckley, “Hamnet”
- Rose Byrne, “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You”
- Renate Reinsve, “Sentimental Value”
- Emma Stone, “Bugonia”
- Kate Hudson, “Song Sung Blue”
Should win/Will win: Buckley. Probably the surest bet this year.
Best Actor
- Timothée Chalamet, “Marty Supreme”
- Leonardo DiCaprio, “One Battle After Another”
- Ethan Hawke, “Blue Moon”
- Michael B. Jordan, “Sinners”
- Wagner Moura, “The Secret Agent”
Should win/Will win: Jordan
Best Supporting Actress
- Elle Fanning, “Sentimental Value”
- Inga Ibsdotter LilIeaas, “Sentimental Value”
- Amy Madigan, “Weapons”
- Wunmi Mosaku, “Sinners”
- Teyana Taylor, “One Battle After Another”
Should win: Mosaku
Will win: Madigan
Best Supporting Actor
- Jacob Elordi, “Frankenstein”
- Sean Penn, “One Battle After Another”
- Stellan Skarsgård, “Sentimental Value”
- Benicio del Toro, “One Battle After Another”
- Delroy Lindo, “Sinners”
Should win: Lindo – how does he not have an Oscar by now?
Will win: Penn*
*Hope disagrees. Her last shred of faith in humanity says Lindo will pull it out.
Director
- Paul Thomas Anderson, “One Battle After Another”
- Ryan Coogler, “Sinners”
- Chloé Zhao, “Hamnet”
- Josh Safdie, “Marty Supreme”
- Joachim Trier, “Sentimental Value”
Should win: PTA or Coogler
Will win: PTA
Original Song
- “Golden” from “Kpop Demon Hunters”
- “Train Dreams” from “Train Dreams”
- “Dear Me” from “Diane Warren: Relentless”
- “I Lied to You” from “Sinners”
- “Sweet Dreams Of Joy” from “Viva Verdi!”
Should win/Will win: “I Lied to You”
Original Score
- “Bugonia,” Jerskin Fendrix
- “Frankenstein,” Alexandre Desplate
- “Hamnet,” Max Richter
- “One Battle After Another,” Jonny Greenwood
- “Sinners,” Ludwig Göransson
Should win/Will win: Göransson – the integration of music in Sinners was masterful.
Animated Film
- “Arco”
- “Elio”
- “KPop Demon Hunters”
- “Little Amélie or the Character of Rain”
- “Zootopia 2”
Should win/Will win: “Little Amélie or the Character of Rain”
International Film
- “The Secret Agent,” Brazil
- “It Was Just an Accident,” France
- “Sentimental Value,” Norway
- “Sirât,” Spain
- “The Voice of Hind Rajab,” Tunisia
Should win/Will win: “Sentimental Value” in a category so stacked that neither “No Other Choice” or “The President’s Cake” could crack it.
Documentary Feature
- “The Perfect Neighbor”
- “The Alabama Solution”
- “Come See Me in the Good Light”
- “Cutting Through Rocks”
- “Mr. Nobody Against Putin”
Should win/Will win: “The Perfect Neighbor“
Casting
- “Hamnet”
- “Marty Supreme”
- “One Battle After Another”
- “The Secret Agent”
- “Sinners”
Should win: “Sinners” or “OBAA”
Will win: “OBAA”
Best Sound
- “F1”
- “Frankenstein”
- “One Battle after Another”
- “Sinners”
- “Sirāt”
Should win: “Sirāt”
Will win: “F1”
Cinematography
- “Frankenstein”
- “Marty Supreme”
- “One Battle After Another”
- “Sinners”
- “Train Dreams”
Should win/Will win: “Train Dreams” in another category brimming with excellence.
Original Screenplay
- “Blue Moon,” Robert Kaplow
- “It Was Just an Accident,” Jafar Panahi, with script collaborators Nader Saïvar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian
- “Marty Supreme,” Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie
- “Sentimental Value,” Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier
- “Sinners,” Ryan Coogler
Should win/Will win: Coogler
Adapted Screenplay
- “Bugonia”; Will Tracy
- “Frankenstein,” Guillermo del Toro
- “Hamnet,” Chloé Zhao and Maggie O’Farrell
- “One Battle After Another,” Paul Thomas Anderson
- “Train Dreams,” Clint Bailey and Greg Kwedar
Should win/Will win: PTA
Live Action Short Film
- “Butcher’s Stain”
- “A Friend of Dorothy”
- “Jane Austen’s Period Drama”
- “The Singers”
- “Two People Exchanging Saliva”
Should win/Will win: “Two People Exchanging Saliva”
Animated Short Film
- “Butterfly”
- “Forevergreen”
- “The Girl Who Cried Pearls”
- “Retirement Plan”
- “The Three Sisters”
Should win: “The Girl Who Cried Pearls”
Will win: “Butterfly”
Visual Effects
- “Avatar: Fire and Ash”
- “F1″
- “Jurassic World Rebirth”
- “The Lost Bus”
- “Sinners”
Should win/Will win: “Avatar: Fire and Ash”
Production Design
- “Frankenstein”
- “Hamnet”
- “Marty Supreme”
- “One Battle After Another”
- “Sinners”
Should win/Will win: “Frankenstein”
Film Editing
- “F1”
- “Marty Supreme”
- “One Battle After Another”
- “Sentimental Value”
- “Sinners”
Should win/Will win: “F1”
Makeup and Hairstyling
- “Frankenstein”
- “Kokuho”
- “Sinners”
- “The Smashing Machine”
- “The Ugly Stepsister”
Should win/Will win: “Frankenstein”
Costume Design
- “Avatar: Fire and Ash”
- “Frankenstein”
- “Hamnet”
- “Marty Supreme”
- “Sinners”
Should win/Will win: “Sinners”
The 98th Academy Awards will take place March 15th, 2026.


